Game Result Predictions
Sunday, February 3

The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Coleman Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Mississippi State
(33-3, Road 13-1)
65 83 -26.0 97% 140 84 -29.0 100%
Alabama
(14-17, Home 9-6)
49 57 +26.0 3% Actual:
114 (-26)
55 +29.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Bud Walton Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
South Carolina
(23-10, Road 9-2)
87 77 -2.0 58% 152 80 -8.0 94%
Arkansas
(22-15, Home 11-7)
79 75 +2.0 42% Actual:
166 (14)
72 +8.0 6%

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Auburn Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia
(18-12, Road 4-7)
58 63 +4.0 36% 130 62 +5.5 12%
Auburn
(21-10, Home 9-5)
59 67 -4.0 64% Actual:
117 (-13)
67 -5.5 88%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Silvio Conte Forum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Virginia Tech
(22-12, Road 4-6)
95 77 -5.0 67% 149 79 -10.0 97%
Boston College
(14-16, Home 8-9)
86 72 +5.0 33% Actual:
181 (32)
69 +10.0 3%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
TD Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Hofstra
(10-22, Road 4-10)
62 64 +1.0 46% 129 66 -5.5 89%
Charleston
(6-23, Home 4-10)
70 65 -1.0 54% Actual:
132 (3)
61 +5.5 11%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
John M. Belk Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
La Salle
(6-25, Road 1-16)
61 53 +21.0 5% 127 56 +13.0 1%
Davidson
(16-15, Home 9-5)
80 74 -21.0 95% Actual:
141 (14)
69 -13.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McGrath-Phillips Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Marquette
(27-8, Road 9-6)
93 87 -9.0 78% 165 79 +6.0 10%
DePaul
(26-8, Home 14-4)
87 78 +9.0 22% Actual:
180 (15)
85 -6.0 90%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
The Knapp Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Southern Illinois
(15-15, Road 5-8)
66 63 +17.0 9% 143 59 +24.0 0%
Drake
(26-7, Home 10-2)
94 80 -17.0 91% Actual:
160 (17)
83 -24.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Cameron Indoor Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Pittsburgh
(11-20, Road 3-8)
55 51 +15.0 11% 117 49 +17.0 0%
Duke
(15-15, Home 9-4)
74 66 -15.0 89% Actual:
129 (12)
66 -17.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Schar Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Delaware
(16-15, Road 6-7)
74 65 -5.0 67% 125 66 -9.5 97%
Elon
(8-21, Home 4-10)
63 60 +5.0 33% Actual:
137 (12)
57 +9.5 3%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Webster Bank Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Monmouth
(14-17, Road 7-8)
73 55 +4.0 36% 114 56 +1.0 37%
Fairfield
(11-20, Home 5-7)
63 59 -4.0 64% Actual:
136 (22)
57 -1.0 63%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Donald L. Tucker Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Wake Forest
(10-20, Road 2-9)
61 50 +19.0 7% 119 44 +28.5 0%
Florida State
(24-9, Home 12-4)
85 69 -19.0 93% Actual:
146 (27)
73 -28.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Rose Hill Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Duquesne
(19-13, Road 9-5)
46 55 +8.0 24% 118 53 +11.5 2%
Fordham
(25-9, Home 12-3)
57 63 -8.0 76% Actual:
103 (-15)
64 -11.5 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McDonough Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Providence
(19-16, Road 6-8)
56 54 +7.0 27% 115 52 +9.0 4%
Georgetown
(19-16, Home 11-5)
61 61 -7.0 73% Actual:
117 (2)
61 -9.0 96%

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
JMU Convocation Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Towson
(20-13, Road 10-8)
59 54 +18.0 8% 126 54 +17.5 0%
James Madison
(29-6, Home 18-1)
71 72 -18.0 92% Actual:
130 (4)
71 -17.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Memorial Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Florida
(8-23, Road 1-12)
51 52 +25.0 3% 129 50 +27.0 0%
Kentucky
(25-8, Home 15-3)
62 77 -25.0 97% Actual:
113 (-16)
77 -27.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Joseph J. Gentile Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Bradley
(19-10, Road 7-6)
69 68 -4.0 64% 132 70 -8.0 95%
Loyola-Chicago
(13-18, Home 8-7)
56 64 +4.0 36% Actual:
125 (-7)
62 +8.0 5%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Draddy Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Siena
(12-18, Road 5-7)
48 51 +7.0 27% 109 50 +7.5 7%
Manhattan
(12-19, Home 7-9)
52 58 -7.0 73% Actual:
100 (-9)
57 -7.5 93%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Watsco Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Virginia
(12-19, Road 2-9)
59 54 +20.0 6% 128 54 +19.0 0%
Miami (FL)
(25-9, Home 16-3)
72 74 -20.0 94% Actual:
131 (3)
73 -19.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Breslin Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Purdue
(19-15, Road 3-8)
66 63 +9.0 22% 135 61 +10.5 2%
Michigan State
(21-12, Home 15-1)
74 72 -9.0 78% Actual:
140 (5)
72 -10.5 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Williams Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Rutgers
(22-10, Road 7-4)
46 57 +5.0 33% 119 58 +1.5 34%
Minnesota
(21-11, Home 15-4)
60 62 -5.0 67% Actual:
106 (-13)
59 -1.5 66%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Pinnacle Bank Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Indiana
(21-13, Road 6-7)
82 70 +2.0 42% 142 72 -2.5 73%
Nebraska
(14-16, Home 8-6)
78 72 -2.0 58% Actual:
160 (18)
69 +2.5 27%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Reynolds Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
North Carolina
(18-15, Road 4-7)
64 67 +11.0 18% 145 62 +19.0 0%
North Carolina State
(28-6, Home 17-2)
51 78 -11.0 82% Actual:
115 (-30)
81 -19.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McLeod Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Missouri State
(25-10, Road 10-5)
63 68 -3.0 61% 133 71 -10.5 97%
Northern Iowa
(19-13, Home 10-3)
58 65 +3.0 39% Actual:
121 (-12)
60 +10.5 3%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Welsh-Ryan Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Ohio State
(14-15, Road 5-6)
59 53 +12.0 16% 118 53 +10.5 2%
Northwestern
(21-15, Home 12-5)
76 65 -12.0 84% Actual:
135 (17)
64 -10.5 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Purcell Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia Tech
(17-13, Road 3-8)
50 61 +26.0 3% 148 56 +35.0 0%
Notre Dame
(35-4, Home 16-1)
90 87 -26.0 97% Actual:
140 (-8)
91 -35.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
The Pavilion at Ole Miss Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Texas A&M
(26-8, Road 8-3)
72 68 -14.0 88% 122 75 -29.0 100%
Ole Miss
(9-22, Home 8-10)
60 54 +14.0 12% Actual:
132 (10)
46 +29.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Baxter Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
North Dakota
(11-19, Road 5-12)
69 63 +2.0 42% 128 67 -7.0 92%
Omaha
(6-21, Home 4-8)
68 65 -2.0 58% Actual:
137 (9)
60 +7.0 8%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Matthew Knight Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Colorado
(12-18, Road 1-10)
43 57 +31.0 1% 145 51 +40.5 0%
Oregon
(32-5, Home 16-1)
102 88 -31.0 99% Actual:
145 (0)
92 -40.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Gill Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Utah
(20-10, Road 5-6)
63 65 +10.0 20% 140 59 +22.0 0%
Oregon State
(26-8, Home 17-1)
71 75 -10.0 80% Actual:
134 (-6)
81 -22.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Bryce Jordan Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Iowa
(29-7, Road 7-5)
81 81 -11.0 82% 151 89 -28.0 100%
Penn State
(12-18, Home 9-9)
61 70 +11.0 18% Actual:
142 (-9)
61 +28.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
People's United Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Rider
(19-13, Road 10-5)
56 49 +19.0 7% 117 48 +19.5 0%
Quinnipiac
(26-7, Home 10-2)
72 68 -19.0 93% Actual:
128 (11)
67 -19.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Ryan Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Dayton
(17-14, Road 2-11)
74 70 -12.0 84% 128 72 -17.5 100%
Rhode Island
(8-21, Home 3-11)
62 58 +12.0 16% Actual:
136 (8)
55 +17.5 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Robins Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UMass
(16-16, Road 6-8)
58 62 -8.0 76% 116 57 +0.5 49%
Richmond
(9-21, Home 8-7)
62 54 +8.0 24% Actual:
120 (4)
58 -0.5 51%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Reilly Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
George Mason
(16-14, Road 6-9)
55 64 -4.0 64% 124 65 -7.0 92%
Saint Bonaventure
(8-22, Home 4-9)
64 60 +4.0 36% Actual:
119 (-5)
58 +7.0 8%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Carnesecca Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Xavier
(11-19, Road 2-9)
41 56 +11.0 18% 123 51 +19.0 0%
Saint John's
(15-16, Home 5-7)
70 67 -11.0 82% Actual:
111 (-12)
70 -19.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Hagan Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
VCU
(24-10, Road 8-7)
65 54 -8.0 76% 100 55 -10.0 97%
Saint Joseph's
(12-19, Home 8-9)
47 46 +8.0 24% Actual:
112 (12)
45 +10.0 3%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Chaifetz Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
George Washington
(10-20, Road 4-9)
44 49 +9.0 22% 107 46 +13.0 1%
Saint Louis
(15-16, Home 9-6)
60 58 -9.0 78% Actual:
104 (-3)
59 -13.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Walsh Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Butler
(23-10, Road 7-5)
62 70 -1.0 54% 139 72 -7.0 92%
Seton Hall
(15-16, Home 11-4)
83 69 +1.0 46% Actual:
145 (6)
65 +7.0 8%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Oklahoma State
(14-16, Road 2-9)
55 58 +11.0 18% 127 53 +19.0 0%
TCU
(24-11, Home 17-3)
69 69 -11.0 82% Actual:
124 (-3)
72 -19.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
CFE Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
South Florida
(19-16, Road 5-6)
63 52 +3.0 39% 107 46 +13.0 1%
UCF
(26-7, Home 11-1)
66 55 -3.0 61% Actual:
129 (22)
59 -13.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Pauley Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Washington
(11-21, Road 2-9)
60 62 +17.0 9% 141 58 +24.0 0%
UCLA
(22-13, Home 11-5)
76 79 -17.0 91% Actual:
136 (-5)
82 -24.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Trask Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Northeastern
(20-12, Road 7-8)
70 69 +1.0 46% 139 68 +2.0 33%
UNCW
(16-12, Home 11-1)
83 70 -1.0 54% Actual:
153 (14)
70 -2.0 67%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Galen Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Washington State
(9-21, Road 1-10)
73 64 +12.0 16% 140 62 +15.5 0%
USC
(17-13, Home 10-4)
81 76 -12.0 84% Actual:
154 (14)
77 -15.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Athletics-Recreation Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Illinois State
(18-12, Road 7-8)
70 67 -7.0 73% 127 71 -16.0 100%
Valparaiso
(8-24, Home 4-11)
67 60 +7.0 27% Actual:
137 (10)
55 +16.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Memorial Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Tennessee
(19-13, Road 6-4)
82 77 -8.0 76% 146 81 -17.5 100%
Vanderbilt
(7-23, Home 5-9)
65 69 +8.0 24% Actual:
147 (1)
64 +17.5 0%

Final/2OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Finneran Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Creighton
(15-16, Road 6-9)
62 59 +8.0 24% 126 61 +3.5 21%
Villanova
(19-13, Home 11-4)
67 67 -8.0 76% Actual:
129 (3)
64 -3.5 79%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
WVU Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Kansas
(13-18, Road 2-9)
50 54 +17.0 9% 125 52 +18.5 0%
West Virginia
(22-11, Home 15-5)
71 71 -17.0 91% Actual:
121 (-4)
71 -18.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Western Hall Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
North Dakota State
(6-22, Road 1-12)
70 66 +13.0 14% 145 63 +17.0 0%
Western Illinois
(10-18, Home 6-5)
82 79 -13.0 86% Actual:
152 (7)
80 -17.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Gold Rush - Kaplan Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Drexel
(24-9, Road 12-2)
62 60 -6.0 70% 114 61 -8.5 95%
William & Mary
(15-16, Home 7-7)
58 54 +6.0 30% Actual:
120 (6)
52 +8.5 5%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Kohl Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Michigan
(22-12, Road 5-9)
76 67 -5.0 67% 129 70 -13.5 99%
Wisconsin
(15-18, Home 10-6)
70 62 +5.0 33% Actual:
146 (17)
57 +13.5 1%